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The former GPA executives who now dominate the industry say the sector has matured and is backed by diversified sources of funding as aviation finance sits proudly alongside property and infrastructure as alternatives to traditional market bets. Yet danger signals have emerged, such as stronger dollar hitting the coffers of many airlines just as they must adjust to a spike in oil prices unique cufflinks india uk sale. That could land unwanted aircraft back into the laps of lessors needing to find new takers. In a sign of turbulence ahead, global airlines have already slashed profit forecasts due to high oil prices..
A few leasing companies are also quietly giving airlines rental ‘holidays’ to help their cash flows, sources said. And some airlines are increasing traffic only by cutting prices, which will hurt all but those with the lowest costs, said Rob Morris, chief consultant at Flight Ascend. According to Stuart Hatcher, chief operating officer of asset managers IBA: “The market is poised for the start of a correction unique cufflinks india uk sale. There are too many signals.”. “When airlines feel pain, lessors feel pain.”..
The industry, however, remains in better shape than in previous cycles, driven by consolidation in the United States unique cufflinks india uk sale. Airlines have begun to recoup their costs of capital in the past four years after decades of value destruction, according to the International Air Transport Association. Demand for financing for new commercial aircraft deliveries is expected to rise almost 7 percent this year to $139 billion, Boeing (BA.N) has said. Last week, financiers were busy doing deals overlooking Hong Kong’s Victoria Harbour at conferences hosted by Airline Economics and Euromoney’s Airfinance Journal..
Lessors say liquidity is abundant and that financial strains in one part of the globe can be offset by demand elsewhere unique cufflinks india uk sale. Currently, Chinese capital accounts for about 30 percent of the funding deployed by leasing firms worldwide, up from 5 percent about nine years ago. But while the carousel continues, the flood of new money chasing deals has lowered returns for most in the industry. Goshawk Aviation, a venture of Hong Kong conglomerate NWS Holdings (0659.HK) and Chow Tai Fook Enterprises, says the sector’s low yields are not feasible for long..
Brian Cheng, executive director at NWS that bought Dublin-based Sky Aviation Leasing this year, said he had seen funding bids from companies that are prepared to accept returns of 3-5 percent on their aircraft investments. “Insurance companies or banks can achieve (these rates) because their borrowing costs are so low .. but for us there’s no way to compete with that.”. Against that backdrop, opportunistic M&A is also picking up. Japan’s Orix Corp (8591.T) struck a $2.2 billion deal this year for a 30 percent stake in leasing firm Avolon Holdings unique cufflinks india uk sale.