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GRAPHIC: Sterling positions and valuations – tmsnrt.rs/2PrxbPH. 2/S-H-O-P-P-I-N-G montblanc cufflinks uk sale. The biggest shopping day of the year, Black Friday, is almost upon us and, according to Refinitiv, retailers are going to have to discount like crazy because the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday lands on the early side. This year’s Christmas shopping period kicks off on Nov. 23 but it gets stretched over five weekends, meaning retailers will be forced to plan additional promotions, Refinitiv said. So the festival which supposedly “turns red ink into black on the ledgers” may make or break fourth quarter results for some firms, Refinitiv warns..

A Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates 38 percent of American consumers plan to shop that day and of those, 37 percent will shop mainly online. Online spending over the 2018 holiday season will grow 14.8 percent from a year ago, outpacing the 2.7 percent growth predicted for brick-and-mortar locations, Adobe Analytics estimates. Black Friday will also focus attention on U.S. retailers’ earnings. These have so far been a mixed bag; Walmart has posted robust sales and raised its full-year outlook, while Nordstrom and J.C. Penney were less fortunate. Next week will bring third quarter results from the likes of Target, Gap, Best Buy and Dollar Tree montblanc cufflinks uk sale.

Refinitiv data may offer clues as to where shoppers are heading with their dollars; discount and specialty sectors may be the strongest performers, with department stores the weakest, its analysis shows. It’s been a tumultuous six weeks for oil, sliding into a bear market and chalking up its longest losing streak on record, including a 7 percent one-day plunge on Nov. 13. The bleeding seems to have stopped, but for how long? What’s certain is that any talk of $100-per-barrel oil has ceased montblanc cufflinks uk sale.

The savage selloff has taken oil nearly 30 percent lower since early October. All else being equal, this should put downward pressure on inflation in the second half of next year, just as the economic cycle is expected to be in the process of rolling over. Throw in a potential equity downturn following the longest bull run in history, and the scope for higher interest rates across the developed world looks limited. Central banks may even be contemplating rate cuts by then. For now, oil markets have steadied, in part thanks to speculation of an OPEC production cut montblanc cufflinks uk sale. But once in a bear market, it’s sometimes very difficult to get out..

GRAPHIC: U.S. crude oil – tmsnrt.rs/2QNE5ew. India’s financial markets are on edge as the government and the central bank prepare for what could be an acrimonious RBI board meeting on November 19. Tensions have been simmering between the government and the RBI for months, contributing to heavy bond market outflows and making the rupee the worst performing major Asian currency this year. RBI Governor Urjit Patel called the meeting amid tensions with the Modi administration on several issues, from lending curbs on banks to sharing central bank reserves. The government threatened to invoke a section of the RBI Act that would allow it to dictate policy; Deputy Governor Viral Acharya warned against undermining RBI independence, citing Argentina as an example of how things could go wrong montblanc cufflinks uk sale.