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Investors are clearly reluctant to hold risky assets before the G20. Pre-summit comments do not suggest a rapprochement is in the offing, but Buenos Aires may be the last chance saloon military cufflinks and studs uk sale. If the talks fail, China and Asia will face tougher times. Slowing growth, weak business sentiment, political instability – one can hardly imagine a worse time for the European Central Bank to end its 2.6 trillion-euro crisis-era stimulus, but that’s what it plans to do at the end of December. Euro zone inflation numbers due on Friday may add to the chorus of data suggesting the ECB will have its work cut out as it tries to “normalize” policy. A market gauge of inflation expectations has slipped to one-year lows after business surveys showed slower-than-expected growth in November. Bets on a December 2019 ECB rate rise have eased further..
Investors expect a November inflation reading of 2.1 percent but “core” inflation, stripping out food and energy costs, is seen at 1.3 percent. Might the ECB offer any relief? One idea that has resurfaced, albeit without any apparent basis, is a potential rerun of another crisis-era measure, the targeted longer-term refinancing operation (TLTRO) which provides multi-year loans to banks. The ECB’s chief economist has already doused such speculation. But the very possibility of TLTROs being unleashed has helped stoke an Italian bond rally, so markets will scrutinize upcoming speeches by ECB policymakers military cufflinks and studs uk sale. Any hints this might be under consideration will undoubtedly create ripples in European markets..
Even if British Prime Minister Theresa May gets her Brexit withdrawal deal with the European Union rubber-stamped by Brussels on Sunday, her battle will be just beginning. Markets reckon an early-December parliamentary vote on the deal is the real crunch date, and the parliamentary arithmetic looks daunting for the British prime minister. Between now and then, she will have to embark on a charm offensive to win over critics of the deal, from Conservative party colleagues and opposition politicians, to businesses and the public military cufflinks and studs uk sale.
A lost vote for the government could spark chaos in financial markets as investors panic that Britain is headed for a disorderly and potentially damaging exit from the EU in March military cufflinks and studs uk sale. Sterling GBP=D3 EURGBP=D3 has remained relatively calm despite some swings in recent days but could change next week as the strength of opposition to her plan becomes clearer. The tech sector’s travails are well known by now, but some of the numbers are still remarkable: the Nasdaq down 15 percent since the start of October; the FANG+TM index in a bear market; up to $1 trillion of ‘FAANG’ stocks market cap lost in under two months, and iPhone maker Apple losing a quarter of its value in a matter of weeks..
The question now is whether tech rebounds, closes the year on a high and drags stock markets back up. The sector has been a leading indicator for the broader market – and to a large extent the economy – on the way down. A bounce would help soothe fears that the U.S. economy really is about to roll over. But damage has been severe. Most major tech stocks and indices are well below long-term moving averages, an indication of further weakness ahead military cufflinks and studs uk sale. Trade wars continue to simmer. Finally, despite all the falls, the sector remains the “most crowded” trade for the 10th month in a row, BAML’s fund manager survey shows..