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(China’s economic trends: tmsnrt.rs/2iO9Q6a). “Policy measures, including funding support for private firms, need some time to show results gucci interlocking g cufflinks uk sale. GDP growth in the fourth quarter could dip below 6.5 percent,” said Wang Jun, Beijing-based chief economist at Zhongyuan Bank. Manufacturing has been supported by resilient exports as firms rush to ship goods to the United States ahead of higher tariff rates, amid persistent trade tensions between the world’s largest economies. Investors are hoping for some progress that front when U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping meet later this month..
But the bigger worry for China lies at home, with domestic consumption starting to slow amid mounting household debt, while the real estate sector – a major driver – continues to cool. Retail sales rose 8.6 percent in October from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said, the slowest since May. Analysts had expected only a marginal dip from 9.2 percent in September gucci interlocking g cufflinks uk sale. A slump in auto sales has put the world’s biggest car market on the verge of its first annual contraction since at least 1990, while garment sales are growing at the weakest pace in over two years, pointing to faltering consumer confidence..
“There are myriad reasons for this step-down in consumer spending: the increase in mortgage debt is eating into disposable income, investment returns are falling, and the closure of many online lenders is cutting off a key source of consumer finance,” Everbright Sun Hung Kai said in a note gucci interlocking g cufflinks uk sale. Beijing is hoping to offset the drag by cutting import tariffs and income tax – it is even reportedly considering making mortgage payments tax-exempt – but those policies may not have much impact, Everbright said..
E-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA.N) reported a record 213.5 billion yuan ($30.70 billion) in sales on Sunday from China’s Singles’ Day – an annual 24-hour buying frenzy. But the pace of growth dropped to its slowest rate in the event’s 10-year history. Slower retail sales were due to seasonal factors, Liu Aihua, a spokeswoman at the statistics bureau, told reporters. However, analysts noted sales growth has been on a downward trajectory since March gucci interlocking g cufflinks uk sale. “Almost all categories in retail sales disappointed in October. We think the government’s fiscal stimulus came in too late, and people now tend to save more and spend less,” Iris Pang, Greater China economist at ING bank in Hong Kong..
“We expect the effect of the personal income tax cut will start to be felt in November, when retail sales may gain some traction.”. China in October raised the threshold for collecting individual income tax to 5,000 yuan per month from 3,500 yuan in the hopes of boosting consumption. FACTORY GROWTH – FOR NOW. One of the few positive surprises was industrial output, which rose 5.9 percent. It had been expected to ease slightly from September’s 5.8 percent gucci interlocking g cufflinks uk sale. But analysts warned the rebound may be short-lived, saying exports could fall sharply if the U.S. proceeds with a sharp hike in duties on Chinese goods from January. Surveys show factory export orders have been shrinking for months..