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**FED CHAIR POWELL: GRADUAL U.S. RATE HIKES BALANCE RISKS TO FORECAST. **POWELL SAYS ‘GREAT DEAL TO LIKE ABOUT’ U.S. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK. ** POWELL SAYS FED BALANCING RISKS OF SHORTENING EXPANSION ON ONE HAND, HIGHER INFLATION AND INSTABILITY ON OTHER cufflinks uk uk sale. **POWELL REPEATS SEES ‘MODERATE’ OVERALL VULNERABILITIES TO FINANCIAL STABILITY. **POWELL EXPECTS SOLID U.S. GROWTH, LOW UNEMPLOYMENT, NEAR-TARGET INFLATION. **POWELL: NO PRE-SET POLICY PATH; PAYING ‘VERY CLOSE ATTENTION’ TO DATA..
**POWELL: ‘CLOSE’ TO PRICE STABILITY, MAXIMUM EMPLOYMENT MANDATES. **POWELL: POLICY RATE ‘JUST BELOW’ ESTIMATES OF NEUTRAL. **POWELL: NEW FINANCIAL STABILITY REPORT AIMS TO BOOST DEMOCRATIC LEGITIMACY OF FED cufflinks uk uk sale. STOCKS: S&P 500 .SPX extended gains and was last up 1.42 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.73 percent. BONDS: U.S. Treasury yields fell; 2s US2YT=RR were at 2.8087 pct; 10s US10YT=RR at 3.0608 pct. FOREX: The U.S. dollar index .DXY turned negative and was last down 0.39 percent..
MICHAEL SKORDELES, U.S cufflinks uk uk sale. MACRO STRATEGIST, SUNTRUST ADVISORY SERVICES, ATLANTA. “What’s important is that he’s saying the words ‘no preset policy path.’ That may be giving the market a little more clear signal, not that (the Federal Reserve) definitely will pause, but that they will pause if they need to. That data dependency is what the market needs to hear.”. “The idea is that four rate hikes are penciled in for 2019 in their outlook, but there might not end up being four….They’ll look at the data, and if it’s slowing down, they’ll react to it. If it’s quite strong, they will end up raising rates, but probably not faster than anyone expects.”..
“It’s not some sort of mechanical thing. What is inflation doing? What is the growth data? How’s the rest of the world doing? If everything else is slowing down, there isn’t as much of a need to raise as many times as they may have forecasted.”. “We doubt they’ll do the full set of rate hikes in 2019. It may end up being two or three times.”. PAUL NOLTE, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, KINGSVIEW ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO cufflinks uk uk sale. “It sounds like the market is reading his comments as being that they’re letting off the gas as far as raising rates. That’s certainly very different than what market participants were led to believe based on his comments in October..
“Investors are figuring if we’re close to being done raising rates, it takes away one of the headwinds (for stocks). Everybody’s been penciling in persistently higher interest rates.” cufflinks uk uk sale. MICHAEL DEPALMA, CHIEF EXECUTIVE, PHASECAPITAL LP, NEW YORK. “(Powell) is reiterating things that were in the financial stability report. Clearly the financial system is more stable that it was pre-crisis, especially if you’re looking at banks.”. “The risk to the economy from financial stability is a lot lower than it was pre-crisis. Having said that, there are things the Fed is concerned about including that rates are just below neutral. I don’t know what “just below” means, it looks like one more hike is baked into the cake this year. If you follow the dot plots as consensus, there should be two more hikes next year, though that is not guaranteed and will be data dependent.”..